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Steve Palmer’s golf betting tips, best bets, abecedarian assay and advance adviser for the BMW PGA Championship at West Course at Wentworth Club in Surrey on the European Tour.

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7am Thursday

Sky Sports Golf, from 10am Thursday

Shane Lowry3pts each-way 30-1 Sky BetBack this tip with Coral hereJoost Luiten1.5pts each-way 70-1 BetfredBack this tip with Coral hereMarcus Kinhult1pt each-way 100-1 Sky BetBack this tip with bet365 hereAlexander Bjork1pt each-way 80-1 generalBack this tip with bet365 hereAndrea Pavan1pt each-way 80-1 Betfair, Paddy Power, Sky BetBack this tip with Paddy Power here

Rory McIlroy has jetted to Surrey behest to chase up his FedEx Cup celebrity with addition celebrated title, but bookmakers are giving annihilation abroad with a best-price 11-2 about the bright bazaar leader.

McIlroy has performed able-bodied at Wentworth before, acceptable this accident in 2014 and finishing runner-up aftermost year, but four of his nine visits accept resulted in a absent cut. With balmy sunshine baking the advance and firm, fast distance expected, the accoutrement is far from ideal for the favourite, who prefers longer, softer terrain, to flourish.

Justin Rose has gone off the abscess in contempo weeks, with alone three players scoring worse at the Tour Championship, while his accessory Tommy Fleetwood has a patchy advance record. Jon Rahm, Patrick Reed, Tony Finau and ascent brilliant Viktor Hovland are all teeing up at Wentworth for the aboriginal time, so there are affidavit for opposing best of the bazaar principals.

Matthew Fitzpatrick and Francesco Molinari arete austere consideration, but the best bet to top the BMW PGA leaderboard is the Best Golfer of the Year.

Shane Lowry led the Open Championship acreage a amusing brawl at Royal Portrush in July, active to an absolute six-shot victory, application absurd accord to adventure Irish galleries in arguably the best blissful copy in the history of the game’s greatest tournament.

Having claimed the Claret Jug and become a Major champion, the airy and accessible Lowry was advantaged to bottomward accoutrement and bless this arresting accomplishment in able fashion, and he anon withdrew from the WGC in Memphis.

It was difficult for Ireland’s hero to apply on the FedEx Cup playoffs aback he resumed action – four solid circuit were alloyed with four awkward ones and his PGA Tour division concluded at the BMW Championship – but about two months accept anesthetized aback his career aerial and he can get aback to business this anniversary at a Wentworth blueprint he loves.

A Ryder Cup admission is Lowry’s capital ambition – he is atrocious to win a abode on the European aggregation of adolescent Irishman Padraig Harrington – and the King of Clara will be able-bodied acquainted that the BMW PGA signals the alpha of the Ryder Cup credibility race. There is some antagonism blight in Lowry’s arrangement afterwards a ages off, but no abridgement of admiration to accomplish well, so alertness has absolutely been thorough.

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McIlroy nailed the Open and BMW PGA bifold in 2014 and Molinari did additionally aftermost season. Agenda switches beggarly Lowry has to do the aforementioned in about-face order, but there charge be every adventitious the accepted 32-year-old ends the anniversary with an alike added absorbing mantelpiece.

Lowry was runner-up to McIlroy in 2014, baffled by aloof a attempt aback ranked 142nd in the world, and his abounding Wentworth anatomy abstracts are 65-4-68-12-2-6-MC-6-15. Big Shane can argue afresh at this iconic area and with self-belief absolutely accurately at an best high, this time he can lift the silverware.

A cogent blackmail to Lowry could appear from Joost Luiten, who has been arresting his brawl with abundant ascendancy over the aftermost few weeks and could calmly access the blueprint if his doodle warms up in the Surrey sunshine.

Luiten has accomplished sixth, 19th and aboriginal for greens in adjustment in his aftermost three tournaments, a superb accomplishment aback you accede that he recruited his new caddie Maarten Bosch above-mentioned to the alpha of this band of long-game excellence. It was a ablution of blaze for Bosch, with a airy Scandinavian Invitation followed by the distance and clubbing adversity of Crans-sur-Sierre, but the brace accept gelled tremendously.

Luiten begin all 18 greens in adjustment in annular three of the Scandinavian Invitation, again about 85 per cent of greens over 72 holes of the KLM Open aftermost week. Anatomy abstracts of 29-23-10 are black accustomed how able-bodied the six-time European Tour best is swinging, but if he enjoys the aboriginal dancefloors of Wentworth, area he has alveolate bristles top-30 finishes, the Dutchman can accomplish a apology of his price.

Complete a five-pronged advance with three added outsiders. Alex Noren was arrive in 2017 and two adolescent Swedes could advance the Swedish claiming this time. Marcus Kinhult, who bravely won the British Masters in Southport in May, was a delinquent Lytham Trophy best as an amateur. England is a blessed hunting arena for the 23-year-old, who able for the US Open at Walton Heath, Surrey, in June, and Wentworth plays to his strengths.

A first-round 74 on his BMW PGA admission aftermost year larboard Kinhult in 93rd atom and disturbing to accomplish the cut – he was apple cardinal 203 at the time and a amateur beginning who had accustomed off anatomy abstracts of MC-MC-MC-MC-63 – but circuit of 67, 68 and 70 followed for a allotment of 12th place. This time, aplomb is high, address of a brace of closing 65s for 12th atom at Crans aftermost time out.

Bjork, 14th and 27th in two solid antecedent Wentworth spins, has anatomy of 23-20-28-22 aback the Open and the 2018 China Open best is able-bodied ill-fitted to this assignment. He was British Masters runner-up at Walton Heath aftermost year.

Andrea Pavan, BMW International champ in June, fourth in the Scottish Open in July, and teeing up at Wentworth with anatomy abstracts of 3-16-12 from the Czech Masters through Crans, is beginning with aplomb and able of afterward accessory Molinari into the PGA winner’s enclosure.

Matthew FitzpatrickThe 2015 British Masters best has accomplished additional four times in the aftermost ten months. Wentworth is a acceptable adventitious to end the winless streak, but Twitter comments this anniversary about the poor action of his doodle were a slight negative.

Francesco MolinariThe 2018 Open champion, like Fitzpatrick, is difficult to scrape from the staking plan. The Italian has been abundantly unimpressive aback folding from the advanced in the Masters, but Wentworth is an ideal blueprint for the arresting champ.

Paul CaseyThe in-form Surrey slugger won the Apple Match Play in 2006 and the BMW PGA in 2009, but he has teed up in alone one of the aftermost bristles editions, so is beneath adequate at the avant-garde Wentworth.

Matt WallaceThe ablaze Londoner accomplished third in the KLM Open aftermost week, sparkling at the weekend, an auspicious additional alpha with his new caddie Jon Smart. The four-time European Tour best is addition dangerman in a able field.

Ashley ChestersThe authentic Shropshire man has accomplished ninth and 15th in his aftermost two contest and is one of the best ambrosial maidens in the field.

Henrik StensonThe Swede has been churning out greens in adjustment and is able-bodied able to accomplish a BMW PGA appellation angle if he can acquisition some flat-stick form.

Course West Course, Wentworth Club, Virginia Water, SurreyPrize money €6.33m (€1.12m to the winner)Length 7,284 yardsPar 72Field 132Course records – 72 holes 267 Byeong Hun An (2015) 18 holes 62 Robert Karlsson (2010), Thomas Bjorn (2014), Alex Noren (2017)

Course winners demography part (strokeplay) David Howell, Paul Casey, Luke Donald (twice), Matteo Manassero, Rory McIlroy, Chris Wood, Alex Noren, Francesco Molinari

When to bet By 7am Thursday

When to watch Live on Sky Sports from 10am Thursday

Last anniversary – KLM Open 1 S Garcia (16-1), 2 N Hojgaard (1,000-1), 3 M Wallace (16-1), 4 J Morrison (200-1), 5 C Shinkwin (250-1), 6 R Karlberg (90-1)

Course overview The allegorical Harry Colt-designed West Advance at Wentworth has been the host area for the PGA Championship aback 1984 and additionally staged the Apple Match Play from 1964 to 2007. This year the accident moves from its accepted May aperture to a mid-September position in the schedule.

The advance has been abundantly remodelled since 2005 by adept Wentworth affiliate and seven-times Match Play best Ernie Els. Above-mentioned to the 2017 edition, every blooming was bare of its accommodation and re-seeded with bit-by-bit bentgrass.

Four of the greens – the eighth, 11th, 14th and 16th – were absolutely reshaped. Bristles added greens were partially rebuilt, while all the putting surfaces accept had a sub-air arrangement installed to accomplish them firmer and faster.

The dancefloors are purer than ever. Tall copse band the fairways, abounding of which are doglegs, so it is a ambitious active course. The blueprint closes with two par-fives – the 610-yard 17th and the 521-yard 18th, a archetypal risk-reward aperture featuring a greenside baptize hazard.

Story of aftermost year Francesco Molinari cruised to victory, closing with six after pars to accomplishment two shots bright of Rory McIlroy, who birdied his final two holes.

Weather forecast Sunny and warm, with ablaze breezes, for all four days.

Type of abecedarian ill-fitted to the challenge Strong active is accepted to acquisition the tree-lined fairways. Long-game accurateness accumulated with short-game diabolism is the admission to success at Wentworth, decidedly with firm, fast distance accepted this week.

Key attribute Accuracy

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